Sample data — illustrative mockup. Items, dates and results are placeholders.
Intelligence · Issue 14 · Week of October 5
Every forecast below is sealed. We publish its fingerprint now and the forecast itself after the board decides, so you can check we never changed a call.
Last week
14 of 16
decided inside our band · see misses
Forecasts sealed · released after each decision
Lot coverage variance, R-3
Board of Adjustment · 4:30 pm
Conditional use permit, auto repair, W 7th St
Board of Zoning Appeals · 3:00 pm
Rezoning to planned unit development, 70th and France
Planning Commission · 7:00 pm
Height variance, hotel addition
Board of Adjustment · 6:00 pm
Front setback variance, R-1A
Board of Zoning Appeals · 7:00 pm
Our sealed forecast next to what the board did
| Item | We said | Board did | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Front setback variance, R-4Minneapolis · Board of Adjustment | Band 5 · High | Denied 4–1 | Hit |
| Rezoning T2 to T3, University AveSt. Paul · Planning Commission | Band 2 · Guarded | Approved 7–2 | Hit |
| Drive-through conditional useBloomington · Planning Commission | Band 1 · Low | Denied 3–4 | Miss |
| Side-yard setback variance, R-1APlymouth · Board of Zoning Adj. | Band 1 · Low | Approved 6–0 | Hit |
Analysis
We sealed it as Band 1, Low risk. The commission denied it 3–4 after a late staff memo on traffic queuing. We are adding pre-hearing staff memos as an input, and the miss stays on the ledger.
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